Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 413.598931 471.530811 536.412952 614.791377 707.340151 813.668613 945.829623
2025-08-24 325.378087 399.699515 490.849381 612.160658 771.340603 975.860220 1263.059991
2025-08-31 273.957557 353.030761 455.902863 601.966131 808.028650 1094.606979 1534.735501
2025-09-07 242.548731 324.732051 436.860978 604.769246 856.515901 1231.300657 1854.317036
2025-09-14 214.190828 295.668697 411.184531 591.876542 876.898994 1326.533133 2127.383029
2025-09-21 194.547688 275.967787 395.444805 589.895545 911.342729 1446.815595 2465.947200
2025-09-28 172.707062 250.332006 367.409781 564.152655 902.096555 1491.088207 2676.856760
2025-10-05 165.056871 245.139635 369.744717 586.968931 977.090578 1694.289956 3239.222208
2025-10-12 159.279839 242.080595 374.796547 614.503142 1064.170033 1935.879735 3947.292600
2025-10-19 149.777807 231.997730 367.056475 618.321836 1107.365439 2099.611653 4531.454862
2025-10-26 138.136493 217.291044 349.946536 602.832973 1110.367352 2180.482773 4942.563505
2025-11-02 128.573766 205.246707 336.234231 591.890124 1120.557503 2278.295015 5425.799258
2025-11-09 124.087991 201.722307 337.552381 610.594476 1196.993606 2545.138562 6467.764486
2025-11-16 116.981070 193.027898 328.720123 608.254246 1227.993174 2713.042690 7296.714661
2025-11-23 109.584385 183.194695 316.821178 598.125577 1239.723459 2835.707380 8036.304853
2025-11-30 104.501740 177.142679 311.463055 600.907772 1281.753910 3046.540813 9157.840030
2025-12-07 98.061215 168.087757 299.508908 588.113659 1284.313595 3151.361425 9956.314854
2025-12-14 93.388105 162.003850 292.851176 586.147777 1313.425110 3338.535850 11156.679792
2025-12-21 86.616277 151.468269 276.475999 560.600367 1278.493700 3329.905034 11574.751562
2025-12-28 85.248554 151.242589 280.941670 583.243475 1373.750219 3743.409292 14016.928538
2026-01-04 84.332388 151.814963 287.075171 610.566909 1487.076293 4249.994084 17246.436874
2026-01-11 81.322014 147.997231 283.623313 614.356218 1535.064586 4552.164537 19688.922311
2026-01-18 76.895373 141.036079 272.895013 598.986312 1524.815337 4646.472020 21081.151753